Testing a Hypothesis
I thought this was a very interesting piece, talking about the latest developments in Simon Baron-Cohen’s research (from which, as you know, we derive our EQSQ personality tests). The basic hypothesis is that there is a spectrum of brain types, from the female, or empathic, to the male, or systemizing. Autism is an extreme form of that male brain type. It’s again part of the hypothesis that exposure to foetal testosterone is what causes these brain types. This is how we can have ( as we do, some 17% of women) wit the male brain type and vice versa, men with the female. Our personality tests are designed to help you work out where you are on this spectrum and thus aid in your decisions about what to study, which career to go for.
Excellent, but the thing about science is that once you have a hypothesis, you are supposed to go looking for evidence that disproves it. No, not proves it, you want to try and prove your idea wrong. If you can’t prove that it’s wrong then you can continue to think (but keep testing!) that it’s correct.
This is exactly what Baron Cohen has done. He’s found an interesting method of testing whether foetal testosterone does indeed have this effect on personality and brain types. By looking at the testosterone levels in amniocentesis samples and then following up the children until the age of 6 he’s been able to show that, yes, just as the hypothesis predicts, those with high levels do indeed have those male brain personality traits. This holds true for both men and women.
Now, as I say, you’re supposed to keep testing your idea. So now he’s going to examine a database of 90,000 such test results. The earlier experiment only had 235 people in it and given that autism spectrum diagnosis is one in a hundred or so, this isn’t enough to give any statistically relevant answers about autism. But in one of 90,000, there will indeed be autistic children, so he’ll be able to study the foetal testosterone levels of those that we do know have autism.

